American Millennials Are Becoming More Supportive of Republicans as Midterms Approach

Simon Moss
May 1, 2018

And now a Reuters/Ipsos national opinion poll learned Democrats have lost the support of millennial voters by a almost 10 percent margin over the space of two years as the 2018 midterm elections loom.

In 2016, 55% of the surveyed youths reported that "if the election for U.S. Congress were held today", they would vote for the Democratic congressional candidate in their respective districts. And they increasingly say the Republican Party is a better steward of the economy.

In particular, 47 percent of white millennials said two years ago they would vote for the Democrats, but now the number is only 39 percent for this year, the poll found.

This, experts said posed a potential problem for Democrats who have come to count on millennials as a core constituency.

Donald Green, a political science professor at Columbia University in New York City, told Reuters that - believe it or not - young voters aren't "as wedded to one party".

With the 2018 midterms steadily approaching and predictions that Democrats could seize control of both the House and Senate, Democratic voters appear to be growing in their support of impeaching Trump. Millennial preference for Democrats has waned by nearly 9 percentage points since 2016.

According to the findings of the poll from two years back, young white people favored Democrats over Republicans for Congress by a margin of 47 to 33 percent.

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In 2016, that support sat at around 28 percent.

More than 70 special elections in 2017 for state and federal legislative seats showed Democrats outperforming Republicans when comparing the results to the partisan lean of the state or district, according to a FiveThirtyEight analysis.

Howver, students in the crowd also raised many other issues, notably the local economy. That's a shift from two years ago, when they said Democrats had the better plan by a 12-point margin.

The Democratic National Committee declined to comment on the Reuters poll. "Instead of having real conversations with them, we settled for TV ads", she said.

Interestingly, outright support for Republicans doesn't seem to have increased much among millennials overall, according to the poll. It signifies a change in direction that offers direct benefit from a Republican vote to a worker's wallet, and that may be enough to even distract the activist generation from social-justice jeremiads.

For the past month, Republican Secretary of State Wayne Williams has been rolling out an educational campaign to make sure the state's largest population of voters - those who don't choose a political party - know they can participate in the primaries, and to help ensure they don't spoil their ballots by trying cast more than one in June. The poll also found a notable shift in a certain demographic.

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